Showing posts with label Populism. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Populism. Show all posts

Tuesday, May 9, 2017

The Charlatans

How Reality Blindsided Anti-globalists


“It is better to die for an idea that will live than to live for an idea that will die.”

- Steve Biko 


Anti-globalization sentiments once had a voice, a bold, logical voice that was easy to relate to. That voice pinpointed the hardships inflicted on those who had been abandoned, ignored, or forgotten by the so-called principle of openness and internationalism. It identified the millions seared by unfair global trade deals that favor multinational corporations who evade taxes, close factories, and siphon jobs to places where labor is cheap and exploitation is overlooked. 

But this backlash, propelled by a rampant batch of populist politicians lost its way when they transformed the sentiments into a hate movement. So, anti-globalization became anti-immigration, anti-minority, anti-Islam, anti-LGBT, and blind, sometimes senseless, opposition to the Status quo. And now, it has lost its voice.


President Trump
Perhaps no other individual has aided the rise, and ultimately, the flop of such sentiments than the 45th President of the United States, Donald Trump. As a candidate, he railed against free trade, immigration, and foreign intervention. He promised to block illegal immigration from Mexico by building a wall, to call out China as a currency manipulator, to drain the swamp in Washington, to repeal and replace Obamacare with a cheaper healthcare system, and to put America first.

Geert Wilders
His victory at the polls gave impetus to populist politicians across Europe. In the Netherlands, the far-right politician, Geert Wilders, pledged to ‘de-Islamise’ the country by closing its borders, ban Islamic headscarves, close mosques, and ban the Koran. He also promised to take the Netherlands out of the European Union and stop public money going towards development aid, windmills, the arts, and innovation.

Marine Le Pen
In France, Marine Le Pen, daughter of the openly racist and anti-Semitic founder of the far-right National Front, Jean-Marie Le Pen, made similar pronouncements. Using traditional language to mask her ideas for a radical shift in France’s role in the world, she emphasized nationalism and a protectionist economy, promising to fight terrorism by closing the borders. She too promised to pull France out of the European Union.  

And in Italy, two populist politicians, Matteo Salvini of the Northern League and Beppe Grillo of the 5-star Movement, joined the bandwagon.

Matteo Salvini
Beppe Grillo
Then Trump’s presidency started, and it became immediately clear that he had fooled the world with his veneer of populism. Through hastily drafted executive orders, nonsensical actions, and remarks, he soon revealed himself to be a buffoon president. 

President Trump 
He did not drain the swamp; he filled it. He did not call out China as a currency manipulator; he embraced the country’s leader (and his Son-in-Law, Jared Kushner, has strong business ties there.) He shrank away from his non-interventionist position and bombed Syria. Though he bungled his first major legislative effort, he subsequently repealed Obamacare but replaced it with a nightmare of a health care plan, nothing near what he promised. He claimed the presidency was more complicated than he had imagined. 

His unrealistic budget plan almost caused a government shutdown, forcing him to withdraw his proposal to build the wall with Mexico (estimated cost: $67 billion). What’s more, in his first 100 days in office, he has spent nearly every weekend at his Mar-a-Lago estate, playing golf, which cost taxpayers an estimated $20 million. (In comparison, Obama’s cost $97 million in 8 years). 

Le Pen & Wilders
These flip-flops alerted voters elsewhere to the dangers of bogus populism. Just as in the aftermath of the Brexit vote, many people took another look at themselves in the mirror and the sight wasn’t pretty. On March 15, this year, voters in the Netherlands turned their backs on the populist Geert Wilders and voted for prime minister Mark Rutte

Last week, in the UK council elections, British voters obliterated
Nigel Farage
the UK Independence Party, UKIP, whose former leader, Nigel Farage, misled many into voting for Brexit. By the time the dust settled, the party had lost all but one of its 145 seats to the Tories. And last Sunday, France came to its senses too, when voters, even those who didn’t support Emmanuel Macron, voted for him to keep Marine Le Pen out of the presidential palace.

At long last, these populist politicians, exposed as charlatans and blindsided by reality, have lost their voice. And they didn’t see it coming.

Thursday, November 10, 2016

The Moment of Truth

President-elect Trump & incumbent Obama
The White House
The triumph of Donald Trump as the 45th president of the United States, which comes at the heels of Britain’s exit from the European Union, has been hailed as the apocalypse. But apocalypse, it may not be. Though several issues and scandals fanned the embers of the bitterly fought 2016 election, what really propelled voters in the US, as in Britain (during the Brexit vote), was an unprecedented yearning for change. It probably doesn’t matter now that no one actually asked the question: What kind of change? 




President-elect Trump
Clearly, the clash between Trump and Mrs. Clinton challenged Americans to confront divisions over race, gender, religion, ideology, and the country’s very national identity. 
Farage & Trump
Interestingly, the "candidate Trump" and the "president-elect Trump" appear to be two different people. In his victory speech and in his comment during a visit to the White House for a meeting with President Obama, Trump sounded conciliatory. Now, what if the campaign persona was actually stage-managed? What if the facade of bigotry was just set up to appeal to a larger number of those angry  and desperate for change no matter what? What if no wall will be built? What if Muslims can enter the US as before?   

In a world where interest groups have usurped the rights of many ordinary people, causing the middle class to disappear and sparking anger, some believe that boosting populist movements everywhere is the best possible chance they have to upend the corrupt system. So, the emergence of Trump in the 2016 presidential election and his disregard for political correctness which many people despise, gave hope to those who felt short-changed.

Donald Trump
Interestingly, following his victory, many irritants in Europe, who mistake racism and homophobia for populism, are bracing themselves for the wind of change that they think a Trump presidency will bring.

Now, as controversial as this might sound, I think that it probably wouldn’t be a bad idea to allow the radical movements in Europe to win for a change—from Marie Le Pen of France to Heinz-Christian Strache of Austria to Geert Wilder of the Netherlands to Pablo Iglesias of Spain to Beppe Grillo of Italy—not because they can deliver, but because it will prove a very simple point, and that is: It is easier to find fault than to find a solution

President Obama
As many examples have revealed, campaign rhetoric and the reality of governance are two different things. And truth be told, in the history of mankind, revolutions triggered by emotions had been largely successful because they were powered by ideas, which today’s populism gravely lacks. 

There is no question at all that in the absence of a fundamental idea of statehood, blind anger over a broken system alone cannot a revolution make.  




Saturday, July 2, 2016

The Danger of Populism

Willful Ignorance 

The Danger of Populism



Politics is like sex. It fills people with euphoria, expectancy, and a shallow, reckless acquiescence that’s akin to madness. It uses a combination of lies, conspiracy theories, fear-mongering, and outlandish promises that can’t be kept to woo voters. It does so with unrelenting hypocrisy, and nothing demonstrates it better than the political position widely known as populism. Yet, as has been demonstrated again and again, the reality of governance always contradicts the lofty stated principles that encapsulate many a campaign rhetoric. Still, virtuous citizens, citing disappointment with mainstream politics, repeatedly fall prey to charlatans—the so-called advocates of the common people, counterfeit revolutionaries, and the phony heroes—who claim to be populists.

Beppe Grillo
In February 2013, following the disastrous tenure of Mario Monti, an austerity-obsessed bureaucrat, as interim Prime Minister of Italy, the people were so disappointed with politicians and politics that they turned to a comedian named Beppe Grillo. As founder of the anti-establishment Five Star Movement, Grillo had previously organized what he called V-Day celebration (the “V” stood for vaffanculo, which means “fuck you!” or “fuck off!” or “go fuck yourself!”), effectively establishing himself as a quintessential populist, the man to rescue virtuous citizens from the money-dominated hypocrisy that politics in the country had become. Not surprisingly, the anti-establishment feeling in the country catapulted him to third place in the 2013 election. But once in parliament, rather than put the old dogs to shame with a populist agenda, the elected officials of the Five Star Movement began their tenure with a bitter and well-publicized fight over the amount they were entitled to as allowances, etc.

Alexis Tsipras
In January 2015, Alexis Tsipras of Greece, riding the wave of anti-austerity feelings in his country, led his party, Syriza, to victory in a snap legislative election. His campaign promise was to end austerity. Once in government, he faced a different reality – if he needed bailout funds from the European Union, he had to implement austerity measures because, in the world we live in, who pays the piper dictates the tune. It became increasingly clear that a refusal to accept the bailout terms would lead to Greece’s exit from the single European currency, or Grexit. Tsipras had two options: accept the terms of the bailout and apologize to his people for his inability to save them from further hardship or refuse the bailout terms and lead Greece out of the union into uncharted territories. Tsipras did neither. He called a referendum instead, insisting he wanted the people to decide whether to accept the terms of the bailout or not. As far as populism goes, he was on the verge of making history. He actively campaigned for a “No” vote and the people voted accordingly. But barely hours after the referendum, Tsipras dropped his anti-bailout finance minister, Yanis Varoufakis, ignored the people’s vote, and accepted the terms of the bailout, plunging his country into the darkness he had come to deliver them from.  

In Britain, Nigel Farage, leader of the UK Independent Party, UKIP, promised the people
Nigel Farage
that if they voted to leave the European Union, the £350m that his country pays to the EU weekly would be used to bolster the National Health Service. No one asked him how he planned to do that seeing as he was neither in government nor in any position to guarantee it. Well, as it turned out, the UK voted 52 – 48 to leave the EU. The morning after, just like bad sex, Farage denied that he had made the promise.

Basking in his victory, Farage went to the European parliament and insulted everyone in the most hypocritical rant of the Brexit drama. In spite of the victory of the Leave campaign, he and all UKIP MPs still maintain their seats in the European parliament, many say because he wants to continue to receive the €16m that EU taxpayers give his party every year. Interestingly, for all his anti-EU stance, Farage is clearly one of the major beneficiaries of the European Union.

What’s worse, some of the people who voted to leave the EU regretted it the morning after,
again, like bad sex. In a piece published on Quartz.com, Marcie Bianco said, “Voters’ confusion about the consequences of their actions is indicative of a larger trend. Civic-mindedness in the digital age increasingly seems to rely less on reason or facts and more on passion. In the case of Brexit, people voted emotionally. Many voters were fueled by a xenophobic nationalism reflective of a larger, global uptick in nationalist movements worldwide – including Trumpism in the US.”

Some of those who later regretted voting to leave the EU said they did not know their votes could make a difference. That, on one hand, is as idiotic as it sounds. On the other hand, it seems that in the era of social media, people’s minds are conditioned to irrational words or posts that can be edited or deleted in the name of freedom of speech. But in real life, unlike the artificial world of social media, irrational words and actions have consequences. They can’t always be edited or deleted at will, and therein lies the danger of populism. Unfortunately, freedom of expression, like the late Umberto Eco (author of The Name of the Rose), once said, has become the “Invasion of fools.”

According to him, “Social media gives the right to free speech to a lot of idiots who, in the past, only aired their views at a bar after one glass too many, which, of course, caused no real damage to the collectivity…But with social media, they are put on the same pedestal as Nobel laureates. In the past, the television had uplifted the village idiot with the impression that the viewer was superior. Now, the nightmare scenario of the internet is that social media has elevated the village idiot to the status of truth bearer.”     

The veracity of his claim was demonstrated in The New York Times with a report, which explained that activities on pro-Brexit Facebook pages—more than 11 million likes, shares, and comments—exceeded the engagement on pro-Remain pages. Likewise on Twitter, the Times’ John Herrman, citing analytics firm Talkwalker, said there was “a substantial lead in leave-related hashtags over remain-related hashtags in May, suggesting there was more discussion on the ‘leave’ side.”

And in an article entitled, “The science of why people insist on making idiotic choices,” Professor Andre Spicer of Cass Business School, City University London, wrote, “In the UK, we have seen a broad consensus of economics experts warning that a vote to leave Europe would be disastrous, but the majority voted to leave anyway.” He offered the following explanation, “To find the real reason people seem to disregard the views of experts about important matters, we need to look at how we process information. In The Stupidity Paradox, a recent work I completed with Mats Alvesson, we asked why, in a world of increasingly smart people, we so frequently end up making incredibly stupid decisions. One reason is our inbuilt cognitive biases. We often make quick decisions about complex issues on the basis of our past beliefs or even chance associations. After we have made these decisions—which often happen in a matter of milliseconds—we start the laborious process of proving ourselves right. We seek information which justifies decisions already made.

The Brexit vote, not surprisingly, has convulsed UK politics. Even before Boris Johnson—
Boris Johnson
leader of the leave vote—was stabbed in the back (some might say, good riddance!), his political star did not look bright anyway. A comment in the Guardian newspaper summed it all up nicely: “Perhaps many Brexiters do not realize it yet, but they have actually lost... Throughout the campaign, David Cameron had repeatedly said that a vote for leave would lead to triggering Article 50 straight away... but, in the midst of the sentimental nautical references of his speech yesterday, he quietly abandoned that position and handed the responsibility over to his successor. As the day wore on, the enormity of that step started to sink in: the markets, Sterling, Scotland, the Irish border, the Gibraltar border, the frontier of Calais, the need to continue compliance with all EU regulations for a free market, re-issuing passports, Brits abroad, EU citizens in Britain, the mountain of legislation to be torn up and rewritten ... the list grew and grew.”

Boris Johnson & British PM David Cameron
Continuing, the commentator said, “The referendum result is not binding. It is advisory. Parliament is not bound to commit itself in that same direction. The Conservative party election that Cameron triggered will now have one question looming over it: will you, if elected as party leader, trigger the notice under Article 50? Boris Johnson knew this... If he runs for leadership of the party, and then fails to follow through on triggering Article 50, then he is finished. If he does not run and effectively abandons the field, then he is finished. If he runs, wins and pulls the UK out of the EU, then it will all be over - Scotland will break away, there will be upheaval in Ireland, a recession ... broken trade agreements. Then he is also finished...”

Donald Trump
Populism, like cancer, is something evil that spreads destructively. The examples of Italy and Greece cited above explain it all. Now too, the UK has begun to reap the fruit of its willful ignorance. In the US, where the Trump madness has stunned many, perhaps no observation is more apt than the words of Winston Churchill, “Americans will always try to do the right thing—after they’ve tried everything else.”